” NEVER LET A GOOD CRISIS GO TO WASTE “
As Winston Churchill was working to form the United Nations after WWII, he famously said, “Never let a good crisis go to waste”. In another context, Churchill’s insight on human nature can also be applied to the global crises in the @UnitedNations. CHINA has benefitted of the globalization and is actively challenging USA as a leading World Power.
“But for the dollar to lose its position as a major reserve currency, there will have to be an alternative ready to supplant it; you cannot replace something with nothing. And there is not yet a clear alternative available. The renminbi will not qualify until China implements more radical – and, in many cases, costly – reforms to internationalize it.
What about in combination with a second term for US President Donald Trump – a development that may accelerate the “loss of US geopolitical hegemony”?
Yet, in the longer term, if the US continues to weaponize the dollar, using it to impose primary and secondary sanctions against rivals and allies, some central banks may have more incentive to move away from dollar assets and reserves. That is more likely if Trump is re-elected, and US geopolitical hegemony and soft power erode further.
So, for now the dollar is safe. But over the next two decades, things could change.” https://www.project-syndicate.org/say-more/an-interview-with-nouriel-roubini-2020-10?h=3kOEzWYvJ1HPWwd%2bojZ%2fX%2f9AuTOtIf6RLtaNmx%2fwwE8%3d&
HOW LONG?
GEOPOLIITTISEN PELITEORIAN NÄKÖKULMASTA (”THE GRAND CHESSBOARD”) KIINA HAASTAA USAN HEGEMONIAA, LOPULTA JOKO SYRJÄYTTÄEN SEN TAI SITTEN SODAN KAUTTA TUHOTEN MOLEMMAT(?)
USAn VETÄYTYESSÄ GLOBAALEISTA YTEISTYÖJÄRJESTÖISTÄ ON KIINA AGGRESSIIVISESTI TÄYTTÄMÄSSÄ TYHJIÖTÄ.
KIINAN TOTALITÄÄRINEN JÄRJESTELMÄ ON TULEVA ANTIKRISTITILLINEN MAAILMANJÄRJESTYS PIENOISKOOSSA.
TRUMPIN MAHDOLLINEN UUDELLEENVALINTA JOKO KAAOKSEN KAUTTA KIIHDYTTÄÄ TÄTÄ KEHITYSTÄ TAI SITTEN AIKAANSAA KANSALLISVALTIOIDEN HETKELLISEN UUDEN NOUSUN; EURO-JÄRJSTELMÄN ROMAHDUKSENKIN KAUTTA.
“CHINA HAS MORE LEADERSHIP ROLES IN UNITED NATIONS ORGANIZATIONS THAN THE OTHER FOUR PERMANENT MEMBERS OF THE U.N. SECURITY COUNCIL COMBINED”.
‘THEY’VE RIPPED OFF THE UNITED STATES LIKE NO ONE HAS EVER DONE BEFORE,’ TRUMP SAID OF CHINA, ¹
AS HE DECRIED THE WAY BEIJING HAS ‘RAIDED OUR FACTORIES’ AND ‘GUTTED’ AMERICAN INDUSTRY, CASTING BEIJING AS A CENTRAL FOIL HE WILL RUN AGAINST IN THE REMAINING MONTHS OF HIS RE-ELECTION CAMPAIGN.
THE OFFICIAL TRUMP RE-ELECTION CAMPAIGN STRATEGY “CHINA, CHINA, CHINA,” :
DETAILED IN A 57-PAGE MEMO TO REPUBLICANS, IS BOUND TO BE DEPLOYED AS TOTAL HYBRID WARFARE, INCLUDING NON-STOP PROPAGANDA, THREATS, INFOWAR TECHNOLOGIES, CYBER WARFARE AND BREAKING NEWS FABRICATIONS.
ONCE AGAIN, THE GLOVES ARE OFF. AND BEIJING WON’T STOP COUNTERPUNCHING IN KIND. EXPECT SERIAL, SILENT SUN TZU COUNTERPUNCHES. ²
“For more a quarter century I have been explaining that America is not losing jobs to foreign competition but to our own corporations moving the work abroad in order to lower their labor costs and raise capital gains and bonuses for owners and executives.” – Paul Craig Roberts
AMERICA CAN’T DO WITHOUT AN ENEMY. AN ENEMY IS WHAT FUNDS AMERICA’S LARGEST INDUSTRY—MILITARY SPENDING—AND AN ENEMY PROVIDES A NATIONAL SECURITY FOCUS WHICH HOLDS OUR TOWER OF BABEL TOGETHER.
DURING THE OBAMA REGIME RUSSIA WAS RE-ESTABLISHED AS THE ENEMY. TRUMP’S INTENT TO NORMALIZE RELATIONS WITH RUSSIA, THAT IS, TO ERASE RUSSIA’S ENEMY STATUS, BROUGHT FIRE AND BRIMSTONE DOWN ON HIS HEAD FROM THE MILITARY/SECURITY COMPLEX. THE CIA DIRECTOR ACTUALLY DENOUNCED THE ELECTED AMERICAN PRESIDENT AS A TRAITOR.
“THE US TRADE DEFICIT WITH CHINA IS NOT CHINA’S FAULT. IT IS THE FAULT OF THE GLOBAL US CORPORATIONS THAT OFFSHORED THEIR PRODUCTION TO CHINA.
WHEN THE OFFSHORED PRODUCTS, SUCH AS APPLE COMPUTERS AND IPHONES, ARE BROUGHT BACK TO THE US FOR SALE, THEY COUNT AS IMPORTS.
THUS, IT IS US FIRMS SUCH AS APPLE, NIKE, AND LEVI THAT ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE US TRADE DEFICIT, A RESPONSIBILITY SHARED BY NEOLIBERAL ECONOMISTS WHO TAUTED GLOBALISM, WHICH HAS COME AT THE EXPENSE OF FIRST WORLD WORK FORCES.
GLOBALISM GAVE CHINA ITS MANUFACTURING BASE.
CHINA SHOULD USE THIS BASE TO DEVELOP ITS MASSIVE CONSUMER MARKET.
IT IS NOT GLOBALISM THAT ANY LONGER SERVES CHINA’S INTEREST.
WITH THE LARGEST CONSUMER MARKET IN THE WORLD, CHINA SHOULD SHIFT ITS FOCUS TO INTERNAL DEVELOPMENT. THE INTERNAL MARKET IS SO VAST THAT EXPORTS SHOULD BE OF NO CONCERN TO CHINA. CHINA, AWASH IN US DOLLAR RESERVES THAT WASHINGTON THREATENS TO DISAVOW, HAS NO NEED FOR FOREIGN RESERVES. CHINA’S STRENGTH IS IN HER ECONOMY. THIS STRENGTH SHOULD BE DEVELOPED. THE INTELLIGENT PATH FOR CHINA IS TO THROW AWAY NEOLIBERAL JUNK ECONOMICS AND DEVELOP A CHINESE ECONOMY.”
https://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2020/05/17/china/
Trump on ainoa joka on vakavissaan pyrkinyt patoamaan Kiina hybristisen uhon; Obaman ”Pivot Asia” tosin siirsi USAn strategisten intressien painopisteen Tyynelle Valtamerelle, mutta käytännössä suunnitelma lässähti ja jäi enemmänkin aikeitten ja puheitten tasolle.
Kysymys on tällä hetkellä hyvin pitkälti siitä, että maailman maista Kiinalla on suurimmat kotimaiset markkinat > onko se saavuttanut jo senkaltaisen tason, että hegemonia pyrkimykset ”Silk Road Initiative” ei ole sittenkän enää niin merkittävässä asemassa koska Kiinan kotimainen kysyntä voi jo taata taloudellisen kasvun(?)
Kiina on tosin laajentanut toimintaansa ulkomailla (myös EUn sisällä); mutta jos kauppasotiin mennään USA/Kiina ja mahdollisesti EU niin riittääkö Kiinan kotimainen kysyntä takaamaan riittävän taloudellisen kasvun.
Kiinan puoluekokouksessa puhuttiin ”Kultaisen Kiinan” luomisesta jo tänne maan päälle.
EI KUITENKAAN KAIKILLE; KUTEN ALLA OLEVA ARTIKKELI KERTOO
For the last three decades, China’s meteoric economic ascent has been predicated on not drawing the ire of the U.S., letting the Americans shoulder the costs of global leadership while China enjoys the spoils of globalization and a stable geopolitical order. Trump was by no means the only China hawk out there back in 2016, and his aggressiveness against China (combined with legitimate criticism of troubling Chinese practices, like IP theft) has found supporters on both side of the aisle.
ON THE SAME DAY HE TALKED ABOUT THE POSSIBLE LAB ORIGINS OF THE VIRUS, TRUMP ALSO DECLARED THAT THE CHINESE ARE ROOTING FOR HIM TO LOSE IN NOVEMBER ELECTIONS.
Now that the global economy has been upended by coronavirus, and both Trump and Xi have increasing domestic political reasons to escalate the fight with one another to avoid the finger-pointing back home, the potential for this to spill from a tech cold war and trade rivalry into an actual cold war once the current pandemic recedes grows daily. ³
NOT EXACTLY; CHINA IS BRACED FOR THE FACT THAT NO MATTER WHO WINS OR LOSES IN NOVEMBER, BIPARTISAN HAWKISHNESS AGAINST CHINA IS GOING TO BE A FACTOR IN WASHINGTON FOR SOME TIME TO COME. THAT BEING THE CASE, MOST OFFICIALS IN CHINA PRIVATELY SAY THEY’D PREFER AN ANTI-CHINA PRESIDENT IN TRUMP’S STYLE—DIVISIVE, UNILATERAL, DISMISSIVE OF ALLIES—THAN IN THE MOLD OF JOE BIDEN.
“Now, ahead of the 2020 election, the coronavirus pandemic has presented Trump an opportunity to once again tap into anti-China sentiment. According to a recent poll, largely owing to the pandemic, Americans hold an unfavourable view of China by a margin of 66 to 26..
The Thucydides Trap: Are the U.S. and China Headed for War?
– Mike Blake / Damir Sagolj / Reuters / alessandro0770 / Shutterstock / Zak Bickel / The Atlantic
Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides’s Trap?
by Graham T. Allison
Recognizing that geopolitical tensions mount whenever a rising power challenges an incumbent power, Allison predicted the current escalating cold war between US and China. In 12 out of 16 historical episodes, such rivalries have led to military conflict. The question is whether the same will happen today, or the two superpowers will be able to manage their rivalry without violence. Allison reminds us that, with sound leadership on both sides, the latter scenario is possible. After all, history is not mechanically determined.
THUCYDIDES CHRONICLED OBJECTIVE CHANGES IN RELATIVE POWER, BUT HE ALSO FOCUSED ON PERCEPTIONS OF CHANGE AMONG THE LEADERS OF ATHENS AND SPARTA—AND HOW THIS LED EACH TO STRENGTHEN ALLIANCES WITH OTHER STATES IN THE HOPES OF COUNTERBALANCING THE OTHER.
BUT ENTANGLEMENT RUNS BOTH WAYS. (IT WAS FOR THIS REASON THAT GEORGE WASHINGTON FAMOUSLY CAUTIONED AMERICA TO BEWARE OF “ENTANGLING ALLIANCES.”)
WHEN CONFLICT BROKE OUT BETWEEN THE SECOND-TIER CITY-STATES OF CORINTH AND CORCYRA (NOW CORFU), SPARTA FELT IT NECESSARY TO COME TO CORINTH’S DEFENSE, WHICH LEFT ATHENS LITTLE CHOICE BUT TO BACK ITS ALLY.
THE PELOPONNESIAN WAR FOLLOWED. WHEN IT ENDED 30 YEARS LATER, SPARTA WAS THE NOMINAL VICTOR. BUT BOTH STATES LAY IN RUIN, LEAVING GREECE VULNERABLE TO THE PERSIANS.
THE DEFINING QUESTION ABOUT GLOBAL ORDER FOR THIS GENERATION IS WHETHER CHINA AND THE UNITED STATES CAN ESCAPE THUCYDIDES’S TRAP. THE GREEK HISTORIAN’S METAPHOR REMINDS US OF THE ATTENDANT DANGERS WHEN A RISING POWER RIVALS A RULING POWER—AS ATHENS CHALLENGED SPARTA IN ANCIENT GREECE, OR AS GERMANY DID BRITAIN A CENTURY AGO. MOST SUCH CONTESTS HAVE ENDED BADLY, OFTEN FOR BOTH NATIONS, A TEAM OF MINE AT THE HARVARD BELFER CENTER FOR SCIENCE AND INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS HAS CONCLUDED AFTER ANALYZING THE HISTORICAL RECORD. IN 12 OF 16 CASES OVER THE PAST 500 YEARS, THE RESULT WAS WAR. WHEN THE PARTIES AVOIDED WAR, IT REQUIRED HUGE, PAINFUL ADJUSTMENTS IN ATTITUDES AND ACTIONS ON THE PART NOT JUST OF THE CHALLENGER BUT ALSO THE CHALLENGED.
BASED ON THE CURRENT TRAJECTORY, WAR BETWEEN THE UNITED STATES AND CHINA IN THE DECADES AHEAD IS NOT JUST POSSIBLE, BUT MUCH MORE LIKELY THAN RECOGNIZED AT THE MOMENT.
INDEED, JUDGING BY THE HISTORICAL RECORD, WAR IS MORE LIKELY THAN NOT. MOREOVER, CURRENT UNDERESTIMATIONS AND MISAPPREHENSIONS OF THE HAZARDS INHERENT IN THE U.S.-CHINA RELATIONSHIP CONTRIBUTE GREATLY TO THOSE HAZARDS. A RISK ASSOCIATED WITH THUCYDIDES’S TRAP IS THAT BUSINESS AS USUAL—NOT JUST AN UNEXPECTED, EXTRAORDINARY EVENT—CAN TRIGGER LARGE-SCALE CONFLICT. WHEN A RISING POWER IS THREATENING TO DISPLACE A RULING POWER, STANDARD CRISES THAT WOULD OTHERWISE BE CONTAINED, LIKE THE ASSASSINATION OF AN ARCHDUKE IN 1914, CAN INITIATE A CASCADE OF REACTIONS THAT, IN TURN, PRODUCE OUTCOMES NONE OF THE PARTIES WOULD OTHERWISE HAVE CHOSEN.
WAR, HOWEVER, IS NOT INEVITABLE. FOUR OF THE 16 CASES IN OUR REVIEW DID NOT END IN BLOODSHED. THOSE SUCCESSES, AS WELL AS THE FAILURES, OFFER PERTINENT LESSONS FOR TODAY’S WORLD LEADERS. ESCAPING THE TRAP REQUIRES TREMENDOUS EFFORT.
PITKÄAIKAINEN Kiina-asiantuntija:
Kiina haluaa oman alueensa johtajaksi, mutta ei pyri Yhdysvaltojen kaltaiseksi supervallaksi, arvioi arvostettu Kiina-tutkija Linda Jakobson
Mihin Kiina oikein pyrkii, miten maahan tulisi Suomessa ja länsimaissa suhtautua?
– EN OLE KOSKAAN AJATELLUT, ETTÄ KIINA HALUAA GLOBAALILLA TASOLLA HAASTAA YHDYSVALTOJA, JAKOBSON SANOO RAUHALLISESTI.
HÄNEN MUKAANSA KIINA YRITTÄÄ KYLLÄ KASVATTAA VAIKUTUSVALTAANSA GLOBAALISTI, MUTTA YHDYSVALTOJEN KALTAISEKSI SUPERVALLAKSI MAA EI PYRI.
– KIINAN KOMMUNISTISEN PUOLUEEN VALTIOJOHDON ENSISIJAINEN TAVOITE ON PYSYÄ VALLASSA, PISTE. HE SANOVAT SEN JULKISESTIKIN. HE TEKEVÄT SEN TAKAAMALLA, ETTÄ TALOUSKASVU JATKUU:
ETTÄ IHMISET AJATTELEVAT, ETTÄ HUOMINEN ON PAREMPI KUIN TÄNÄÄN JA LASTENI TULEVAISUUS ON EDES HIVENEN PAREMPI KUIN OMANI.
– JA JOTTA TALOUSKASVU JATKUU, HEIDÄN ON PAKKO OLLA TEKEMISISSÄ ULKOMAAILMAN KANSSA.
SEN SIJAAN ALUEELLISESTI, ETELÄ-AASIAN JA TYYNENMEREN ALUEELLA, KIINA PYRKII JAKOBSONIN MUKAAN MÄÄRÄTIETOISESTI JOHTAVAAN ASEMAAN
Aides to U.S. President Trump say their 2020 campaign will now be focus on two themes: Trump is the only candidate who can resurrect the economy and that Democrats will not be as tough on China, a country Trump is blaming for the pandemic.
“A WHITE HOUSE DOCUMENT TITLED “STRATEGIC APPROACH TO THE PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC OF CHINA” FALSELY ACCUSED THE COUNTRY OF “EXPLOIT(ING) THE FREE AND OPEN RULES-BASED ORDER AND ATTEMPT(ING) TO RESHAPE THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM IN ITS FAVOR (SIC).”
TRANSLATION: THE US WANTS CHINA CO-OPTED. IT WANTS ALL NATIONS SUBSERVIENT TO ITS INTERESTS, NONE GOING THEIR OWN WAY UNDER THEIR OWN SYSTEM THAT DIVERGES FROM THE AMERICAN WAY — USED TO DOMINATE OTHER COUNTRIES.
CHINA’S DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES US ECONOMIC DOMINANCE OVER OTHER NATIONS, ITS RAGE FOR MAINTAINING A UNIPOLAR WORLD ORDER THAT ALREADY CHANGED TO MULTI-WORLD POLARITY,
A NOTION UNACCEPTABLE TO THE US RULING CLASS.”
Alkuvuodesta 2020 lähtien Kiina on panostanut täysillä sen jo äärimmäiseen uskonnonvapauden tukahduttamiseen eikä Covid-19- epidemia ole hillinnyt mitenkään Kiinan kommunistisen puolueen (CCP) innostusta jatkaa linjaansa. Jos jotakin on tapahtunut, niin se, että virusepidemia on riittänyt tekosyyksi rajoittaa entisestään uskonnonvapautta.
Näillä sanoilla alkaa Gatestone -instituutin vanhemman tutkijan, asianajajan ja poliittisen analyytikon, Judith Bergmanin 24. toukokuuta päivätty artikkeli “Kiinan kommunistisen puolueen tapa ‘ennaltaehkäistä epidemiaa’: uskonnollisten vähemmistöjen vainoaminen”.
KOKO KORONAVIRUSEPIDEMIAN AJAN KIINAN HALLITUS ON JATKANUT RISTIEN POISTAMISTA THREE-SELF CHURCH -KIRKOISTA ANHUISSA, JIANGSUSSA, SHANDONGISSA JA MUISSA MAAKUNNISSA.
LUOBEIN ARMON KIRKKO ON MAAKUNNAN AINOA KOREALAISTA ALKUPERÄÄ OLEVA PROTESTANTTIEN KIRKKO. RISTIN POISTAMISEN JÄLKEEN KIRKON PASTORI ROHKAISI SEURAKUNTAANSA, ETTÄ VAIKKA RISTI OLI FYYSISESTI POISTETTU, ”RISTIÄ EI VOIDA VIEDÄ HEIDÄN SYDÄMESTÄÄN”.
HALLITUS EI SALLI USKOVILLE USKONNOLLISIA SYMBOLEJA MYÖSKÄÄN KOTONA.
USKONNOLLISTEN VÄHEMMISTÖJEN RUKOUSHUONEIDEN PURKAMISTEN, PIDÄTYKSIEN JA YLEISEN HÄIRINNÄN LISÄKSI KIINAN KOMMUNISTINEN PUOLUE VANGITSEE SÄÄNNÖLLISESTI USKOVIA, TOISINAJATTELIJOITA JA MONIA MUITA EI-TOIVOTTUJA IHMISIÄ PSYKIATRISEEN SAIRAALAAN “HOITOON”, MISSÄ HEIDÄT PAKOTETAAN, USEIN KIDUTUKSEN AVULLA OTTAMAAN LÄÄKETTÄ.
KYSEINEN ST.JOHNS KIRKKO OLI JOUTUNUT TUHOPOLTTOYRITYKSEN KOHTEEKSI EDELLISEN YÖN AIKANA TAPAHTUNEISSA “PROTESTEISSA”. TÄMÄ SEIKKA ON JÄÄNYT MEDIALTA TÄYSIN KOMMENTOIMATTA.
TO BE CONTINUED…
[¹] http://ronpaulinstitute.org/archives/featured-articles/2020/june/01/war-for-hong-kong/
[²] https://www.globalresearch.ca/beijing-sees-trump-hand-wont-fold/5714580
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